As of today the market prices Another Elon baby by December 31 at 25% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.
Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Another Elon baby by December 31??
The market currently prices this at 25% (25¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Another Elon baby by December 31?
Another Elon baby by December 31? is the market favorite at 25%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $616 through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Another Elon baby by December 31??
$616 has been traded on this market in total, including $15 in the last 24 hours, with $241 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Another Elon baby by December 31? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Another Elon baby by December 31? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify.
Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Where can I bet on Another Elon baby by December 31?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.