Amazon 2026 capex above …?

$170 billion leads at 98% across 6 outcomes, with $28K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Amazon 2026 capex above …? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
$170 billion98%98¢$2K
$180 billion96%96¢$7K
$190 billion96%96¢$6K
$200 billion92%92¢$6K
$210 billion91%91¢$4K
$220 billion83%83¢$4K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Amazon 2026 capex above …??
Current odds: $170 billion 98%, $180 billion 96%, $190 billion 96%, $200 billion 92%, $210 billion 91%, $220 billion 83%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Amazon 2026 capex above …?
$170 billion is the market favorite at 98%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $28K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Amazon 2026 capex above …??
$28K has been traded on this market in total, with $5K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Amazon 2026 capex above …? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on May 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Amazon 2026 capex above …? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon's Purchases of Property and Equipment (capital expenditures) for the full year of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal
Where can I bet on Amazon 2026 capex above …?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

Related tech markets

All Tech markets on Polymarket →

Track every Polymarket market on the markets page, or see who is trading them on the leaderboard.