This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and July 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will gas hit __ by end of July??
Current odds: ↑ $4.25 3%, ↓ $3.70 2%, ↑ $5.00 1%, ↑ $4.50 1%, ↓ $3.60 1%, ↓ $3.50 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will gas hit __ by end of July?
↑ $4.25 is the market favorite at 3%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $11K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will gas hit __ by end of July??
$11K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $11K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will gas hit __ by end of July? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will gas hit __ by end of July? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and July 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Where can I bet on Will gas hit __ by end of July?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.