As of today the market prices Will Drake release a new album by... at 59% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Drake release a new album by...??
The market currently prices this at 59% (59¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Drake release a new album by...?
December 31 is the market favorite at 59%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $26K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Drake release a new album by...??
$26K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $2K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Drake release a new album by...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Drake release a new album by...? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Where can I bet on Will Drake release a new album by...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.