As of today the market prices Will Claude go down on __ days in July at 80% — that is what traders are paying, in real money, for a share that pays $1.00 if it happens.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Claude go down on __ days in July??
The market currently prices this at 80% (80¢ per share). Odds update continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Will Will Claude go down on __ days in July?
9-11 is the market favorite at 80%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $78K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Claude go down on __ days in July??
$78K has been traded on this market in total, including $4K in the last 24 hours, with $10K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Claude go down on __ days in July? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Claude go down on __ days in July? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the number of days in July 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once
Where can I bet on Will Claude go down on __ days in July?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.