This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __??
Current odds: $54B 85%, $55.5B 81%, $57B 57%, $58.5B 21%, $60B 16%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __?
$54B is the market favorite at 85%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $4K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __??
$4K has been traded on this market in total, including $80 in the last 24 hours, with $624 of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on November 2, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __? resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple's iPhone revenue for the upcoming fourth fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resol
Where can I bet on Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPhone revenue be above __?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.