Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

August 10 leads at 67% across 29 outcomes, with $93K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
August 1067%67¢$28K
No release by August 3112%12¢$5K
August 207%$2K
August 126%$6K
August 196%$2K
August 185%$3K
August 174%$2K
August 244%$1K
August 253%$3K
August 263%$1K
August 132%$5K
August 272%$4K
August 61%$4K
August 111%$6K
August 291%$4K

14 more outcomes on the full market page.

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...??
Current odds: August 10 67%, No release by August 31 12%, August 20 7%, August 12 6%, August 19 6%, August 18 5%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
August 10 is the market favorite at 67%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $93K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...??
$93K has been traded on this market in total, including $35K in the last 24 hours, with $157K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on August 31, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be e
Where can I bet on Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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