Core PCE YoY - June 2026

≤3.3% leads at 83% across 7 outcomes, with $18K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Core PCE YoY - June 2026 odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
≤3.3%83%83¢$4K
3.4%14%14¢$4K
3.5%3%3¢$6K
3.6%1%1¢$2K
3.7%0%0¢$1K
3.8%0%0¢$832
3.9%+0%0¢$1K

Market details

Resolution rules

This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Core PCE YoY - June 2026?
Current odds: ≤3.3% 83%, 3.4% 14%, 3.5% 3%, 3.6% 1%, 3.7% 0%, 3.8% 0%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Core PCE YoY - June 2026?
≤3.3% is the market favorite at 83%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $18K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Core PCE YoY - June 2026?
$18K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $13K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Core PCE YoY - June 2026 resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on July 30, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Core PCE YoY - June 2026 resolve?
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be
Where can I bet on Core PCE YoY - June 2026?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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