Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase leads at 74% across 5 outcomes, with $22K traded so far. Prices are live probabilities set by traders on Polymarket, not editorial predictions.

Bank of Japan Decision in December? odds

OutcomeChancePriceVolume
25 bps increase74%74¢$10K
No change23%23¢$6K
50+ bps decrease1%1¢$2K
25 bps decrease1%1¢$2K
50+ bps increase1%1¢$2K

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Bank of Japan Decision in December??
Current odds: 25 bps increase 74%, No change 23%, 50+ bps decrease 1%, 25 bps decrease 1%, 50+ bps increase 1%. Each price is the market's implied probability for that outcome, and updates continuously as traders buy and sell on Polymarket.
Who is favored in Bank of Japan Decision in December?
25 bps increase is the market favorite at 74%, based on real money wagered by traders who have moved $22K through this market. Prediction-market odds have historically tracked outcomes more closely than polls, but they are a forecast, not a guarantee.
How much money is on Bank of Japan Decision in December??
$22K has been traded on this market in total, including $1K in the last 24 hours, with $10K of resting liquidity in the order book.
When does Bank of Japan Decision in December? resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on December 18, 2026. Winning shares pay out $1.00 each; losing shares expire worthless.
How does Bank of Japan Decision in December? resolve?
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its December 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting, scheduled for December 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan’s Policy Board resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is is
Where can I bet on Bank of Japan Decision in December?
This is a Polymarket prediction market — you trade YES/NO shares against other users rather than against a bookmaker. Polynter.net tracks the odds, volume and trader activity; trading itself happens on Polymarket.

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